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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.26%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 28.13% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
47.26% ( 0.2) | 24.61% ( -0.08) | 28.13% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 55.77% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.21% ( 0.27) | 46.79% ( -0.27) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.95% ( 0.25) | 69.05% ( -0.25) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.13% ( 0.19) | 19.87% ( -0.19) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.02% ( 0.31) | 51.98% ( -0.31) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.6% ( 0.05) | 30.4% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.4% ( 0.06) | 66.6% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 9.76% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.25% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 47.26% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 6.04% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.6% | 0-1 @ 7.19% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 6.92% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 2.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.08% Total : 28.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 11 | 19 | 45 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 21 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 37 | 15 | 22 | 42 |
3 | Burnley | 21 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 8 | 18 | 41 |
4 | Sunderland | 21 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 32 | 17 | 15 | 40 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 35 | 25 | 10 | 34 |
7 | Watford | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 29 | 26 | 3 | 34 |
8 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 21 | 7 | 11 | 3 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 32 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 26 | 30 | -4 | 29 |
10 | Swansea CitySwansea | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 27 |
11 | Bristol City | 21 | 6 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 21 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 36 | 32 | 4 | 26 |
13 | Millwall | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 25 |
14 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 21 | 6 | 6 | 9 | 27 | 30 | -3 | 24 |
17 | Preston North EndPreston | 21 | 4 | 11 | 6 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 23 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 21 | 5 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 22 |
19 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 21 | 4 | 10 | 7 | 21 | 27 | -6 | 22 |
20 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 18 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 19 | 32 | -13 | 18 |
22 | Portsmouth | 19 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 21 | 34 | -13 | 17 |
23 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 20 | 4 | 5 | 11 | 19 | 42 | -23 | 17 |
24 | Hull City | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 19 | 30 | -11 | 16 |
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