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Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Tondela

Porto
4 - 0
Tondela

Taremi (45' pen.), Galeno (73'), Vieira (76'), Conceicao (79')
Wendell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Borges (3'), Hernando (33')
Hernando (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

Tondela

Last Six:
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Porto 2-0 Tondela

 Following their Europa League defeat against Lyon, Porto will be looking to restore some pride on their return to the Primeira Liga. They face a Tondela side who have struggled for results in the history of this fixture and we are backing the Dregoes to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawTondela
77.81%14.15%8.04%
Both teams to score 48.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.26%34.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.3%56.7%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78%7.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.8%26.19%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.94%48.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.72%83.27%
Score Analysis
    Porto 77.8%
    Tondela 8.04%
    Draw 14.15%
PortoDrawTondela
2-0 @ 11.98%
3-0 @ 10.5%
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 7.7%
4-0 @ 6.91%
4-1 @ 5.06%
5-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.82%
5-1 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 1.85%
6-0 @ 1.59%
6-1 @ 1.17%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 77.8%
1-1 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 3.47%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 14.15%
0-1 @ 2.54%
1-2 @ 2.45%
0-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.04%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 6pm
Tondela
1-3
Porto
Borges (4')
Sagnan (11'), Pedro (23')
Undabarrena (28')
Taremi (19', 43', 79')
Evanilson (14'), Uribe (44'), Pepe (54'), Otavio (73')
Apr 10, 2021 6pm
Tondela
0-2
Porto

Grau (39'), Medioub (48'), Bebeto (58'), Martinez (88')
Martinez (19'), Taremi (83')
Otavio (60')
Dec 5, 2020 8.30pm
Porto
4-3
Tondela
Sanusi (4'), Marega (36', 48'), Taremi (56')
Uribe (40'), Evanilson (79')
Uribe (90+3')
Gonzalez (20', 74'), Barbosa (33')
Medioub (39'), Augusto (62'), Mendes (79'), Grau (83'), Martinez (90+1')
Jul 9, 2020 7.15pm
Tondela
1-3
Porto
Jeronimo (77' pen.)
Alves (45+1'), Jaquite (49'), Xavier (90+1')
Pereira (47'), Marega (64'), Vieira (90+5' pen.)
Corona (41'), Telles (59'), Uribe (71'), Marega (90+5')
Dec 16, 2019 8.15pm
Porto
3-0
Tondela
Tiquinho (10', 32'), Otavio (51')
rhs 2.0
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Lions
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon77002522321
2Porto76011631318
3Benfica75111751216
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara7502118315
5Braga7421124814
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes741276113
7FamalicaoFamalicao733183512
8MoreirenseMoreirense7223911-28
9Casa Pia722369-38
10AVS7223610-48
11Gil Vicente7142712-57
12Rio AveRio Ave7214512-77
13Estoril PraiaEstoril7133410-66
14AroucaArouca7205312-96
15Estrela Amadora7124510-55
16BoavistaBoavista712438-55
17Nacional7124412-85
18SC FarenseFarense7016213-111
> Primeira Liga Full Table


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