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Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Porto
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio do Dragão
Tondela

Porto
4 - 0
Tondela

Taremi (45' pen.), Galeno (73'), Vieira (76'), Conceicao (79')
Wendell (36')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Borges (3'), Hernando (33')
Hernando (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Porto and Tondela, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup
Last Game: Porto 3-1 Tondela
Sunday, May 22 at 5.15pm in Taca de Portugal
Next Game: Porto vs. Tondela
Sunday, July 31 at 8.45pm in Portuguese Super Cup

We said: Porto 2-0 Tondela

Following their Europa League defeat against Lyon, Porto will be looking to restore some pride on their return to the Primeira Liga. They face a Tondela side who have struggled for results in the history of this fixture and we are backing the Dregoes to come away with all three points unscathed. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 77.81%. A draw had a probability of 14.1% and a win for Tondela had a probability of 8.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.5%) and 1-0 (9.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.68%), while for a Tondela win it was 0-1 (2.54%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
PortoDrawTondela
77.81%14.15%8.04%
Both teams to score 48.19%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.26%34.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.3%56.7%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
92.78%7.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
73.8%26.19%
Tondela Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.94%48.06%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.72%83.27%
Score Analysis
    Porto 77.8%
    Tondela 8.04%
    Draw 14.15%
PortoDrawTondela
2-0 @ 11.98%
3-0 @ 10.5%
1-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 7.7%
4-0 @ 6.91%
4-1 @ 5.06%
5-0 @ 3.63%
3-2 @ 2.82%
5-1 @ 2.66%
4-2 @ 1.85%
6-0 @ 1.59%
6-1 @ 1.17%
5-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 77.8%
1-1 @ 6.68%
0-0 @ 3.47%
2-2 @ 3.22%
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 14.15%
0-1 @ 2.54%
1-2 @ 2.45%
0-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 8.04%

Head to Head
Oct 23, 2021 6pm
Tondela
1-3
Porto
Borges (4')
Sagnan (11'), Pedro (23')
Undabarrena (28')
Taremi (19', 43', 79')
Evanilson (14'), Uribe (44'), Pepe (54'), Otavio (73')
Apr 10, 2021 6pm
Tondela
0-2
Porto

Grau (39'), Medioub (48'), Bebeto (58'), Martinez (88')
Martinez (19'), Taremi (83')
Otavio (60')
Dec 5, 2020 8.30pm
Porto
4-3
Tondela
Sanusi (4'), Marega (36', 48'), Taremi (56')
Uribe (40'), Evanilson (79')
Uribe (90+3')
Gonzalez (20', 74'), Barbosa (33')
Medioub (39'), Augusto (62'), Mendes (79'), Grau (83'), Martinez (90+1')
Jul 9, 2020 7.15pm
Tondela
1-3
Porto
Jeronimo (77' pen.)
Alves (45+1'), Jaquite (49'), Xavier (90+1')
Pereira (47'), Marega (64'), Vieira (90+5' pen.)
Corona (41'), Telles (59'), Uribe (71'), Marega (90+5')
Dec 16, 2019 8.15pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1111003953433
2Porto119022882027
3Benfica108112872125
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara117041412221
5Braga116231911820
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes115331211118
7FamalicaoFamalicao11452129317
8MoreirenseMoreirense115241514117
9Casa Pia113441014-413
10Rio AveRio Ave113351020-1012
11Gil Vicente112451419-510
12Estoril PraiaEstoril11245816-810
13AVS11245919-1010
14BoavistaBoavista11236715-89
15Estrela Amadora112361020-109
16Nacional10226615-98
17AroucaArouca11227619-138
18SC FarenseFarense11128518-135


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