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J1 League | Gameweek 23
Jul 14, 2024 at 10am UK
Ajinomoto Stadium

Tokyo Verdy
0 - 1
Machida Zelvia

FT(HT: 0-1)
Fujio (6')
Fujio (68'), Oh (77'), Oh (79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's J1 League clash between Tokyo Verdy and Machida Zelvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tokyo Verdy 1-1 Cerezo
Saturday, July 6 at 10.40am in J1 League
Last Game: Machida Zelvia 1-0 Nagoya Grampus
Saturday, July 6 at 10am in J1 League

We said: Tokyo Verdy 1-2 Machida Zelvia

While Tokyo Verdy have been one of the most difficult teams to beat on their home patch, they now face the side with the league's best away record and are unbeaten in their last six matches on the road. Additionally, the visitors completely outplayed this opponent in the reverse fixture, and while this match is unlikely to be as lopsided as the last, we do still feel Zelvia will come away with the points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Machida Zelvia win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Tokyo Verdy had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Machida Zelvia win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.62%). The likeliest Tokyo Verdy win was 1-0 (9.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Machida Zelvia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Machida Zelvia.

Result
Tokyo VerdyDrawMachida Zelvia
27.99% (-0.165 -0.16) 27.43% (0.199 0.2) 44.58% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Both teams to score 47.08% (-0.655 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.96% (-0.789 -0.79)58.03% (0.791 0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.28% (-0.623 -0.62)78.72% (0.626 0.63)
Tokyo Verdy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-0.56 -0.56)36.46% (0.563 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-0.571 -0.57)73.25% (0.57300000000001 0.57)
Machida Zelvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (-0.372 -0.37)25.91% (0.375 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.1% (-0.507 -0.51)60.9% (0.509 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Tokyo Verdy 27.99%
    Machida Zelvia 44.58%
    Draw 27.43%
Tokyo VerdyDrawMachida Zelvia
1-0 @ 9.53% (0.141 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.49% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 4.81% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 2.18% (-0.059 -0.06)
3-0 @ 1.62% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.48% (-0.056 -0.06)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 27.99%
1-1 @ 12.87% (0.049999999999999 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.45% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 4.39% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 27.43%
0-1 @ 12.75% (0.24 0.24)
1-2 @ 8.69% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 8.62% (0.074 0.07)
1-3 @ 3.91% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.88% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.97% (-0.066 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.32% (-0.038 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 44.58%

How you voted: Tokyo Verdy vs Machida Zelvia

Tokyo Verdy
9.1%
Draw
36.4%
Machida Zelvia
54.5%
11
Head to Head
May 19, 2024 6am
Gameweek 15
Machida Zelvia
5-0
Tokyo Verdy
Miyahara (11' og.), Fujio (29', 60' pen.), Shibato (80'), Lima (90+3')

Chida (49'), Hayashi (54')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Vissel KobeVissel Kobe36208857352268
2Sanfrecce HiroshimaHiroshima361811766392765
3Machida Zelvia36189952312163
4Gamba OsakaGamba Osaka361612845341160
5Kashima AntlersKashima Antlers361611955401559
6Tokyo Verdy36141394746155
7Cerezo OsakaCerezo361313104343052
8FC Tokyo36149134949051
9Yokohama F MarinosYokohama36147155858049
10Nagoya GrampusNagoya Grampus36145174244-247
11Avispa Fukuoka361114113135-447
12Urawa Red DiamondsUrawa351210134843546
13Kyoto Sanga361210144354-1146
14Kawasaki FrontaleKawasaki351112125751645
15Shonan BellmareShonan Bellmare36129155152-145
16Albirex Niigata361011154458-1441
17Kashiwa ReysolReysol36913143849-1140
18Jubilo Iwata3698194564-1935
19Consadole SapporoConsadole36810184161-2034
20Sagan Tosu3685234268-2629


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