World Cup Qualifying - Asia | Second Round
Jun 15, 2021 at 7pm UK
Saudi Arabia3 - 0Uzbekistan
Al-Faraj (25', 33'), Al Hassan (52')
Al-Faraj (67'), Al-Muwallad (90+2'), Abdullah Abdul Hamid (90+4'), Al-Ghanam (90+5')
Al-Faraj (67'), Al-Muwallad (90+2'), Abdullah Abdul Hamid (90+4'), Al-Ghanam (90+5')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Shukurov (90+1')
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Saudi Arabia win with a probability of 45.31%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.33%) and 2-0 (6.41%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-2 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 45.31% | 23.23% | 31.46% |
| Both teams to score 62.69% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
