MX23RW : Saturday, December 21 11:36:43| >> :300:86500:86500:
Blackburn logo
Bristol City
Burnley logo
Cardiff City logo
Coventry City
Derby logo
Hull logo
Leeds logo
Luton Town
Middlesbrough logo
Millwall logo
Norwich logo
Oxford United
Plymouth Argyle
Portsmouth
Preston North End logo
QPR logo
Sheffield United logo
Sheffield Wednesday logo
Stoke logo
Sunderland
Swansea logo
Watford logo
West Brom logo
Leeds logo
Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Elland Road
Watford logo

Leeds
2 - 1
Watford

Ramazani (4'), Aaronson (7')
Tanaka (38'), Firpo (59')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Baah (47')
Ebosele (35'), Cleverley (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Sheff Utd
Friday, October 18 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 3-0 Watford
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Leeds United 3-1 Watford

Given Watford's poor form away form and how candidly Cleverley spoke about his side's struggles on the road, it is difficult to see how they avoid defeat. Additionally, Leeds are in excellent form and have proven difficult to beat this term, and they should be considered favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 66.94%. A draw had a probability of 18.8% and a win for Watford had a probability of 14.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 1-0 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.82%), while for a Watford win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
66.94% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08) 18.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01) 14.25% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 53.65% (0.292 0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.84% (0.259 0.26)39.16% (-0.258 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.52% (0.271 0.27)61.48% (-0.271 -0.27)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.18% (0.051000000000002 0.05)10.81% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
65.13% (0.114 0.11)34.87% (-0.114 -0.11)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.16% (0.294 0.29)39.84% (-0.29499999999999 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.5% (0.269 0.27)76.5% (-0.27000000000001 -0.27)
Score Analysis
    Leeds United 66.93%
    Watford 14.25%
    Draw 18.81%
Leeds UnitedDrawWatford
2-0 @ 10.65% (-0.09 -0.09)
2-1 @ 9.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.58% (-0.096 -0.1)
3-0 @ 7.9% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 7.27% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
4-0 @ 4.39% (-0.016 -0.02)
4-1 @ 4.04% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.35% (0.035 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.96% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.86% (0.023 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.8% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 4.32%
Total : 66.93%
1-1 @ 8.82% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.51% (0.037 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.31% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-3 @ 1.03% (0.019 0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 18.81%
1-2 @ 4.06% (0.024 0.02)
0-1 @ 3.97% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-2 @ 1.82% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (0.023 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.25% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 14.25%

How you voted: Leeds vs Watford

Leeds United
82.0%
Draw
11.5%
Watford
6.6%
122
Head to Head
Mar 29, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 39
Watford
2-2
Leeds
Issouf Bayo (31'), Dennis (44')
Summerville (37'), Fernandez (85')
Sep 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 8
Leeds
3-0
Watford
Piroe (67'), Byram (70'), Anthony (89')
Rutter (40')

Andrews (43'), Bachmann (67'), Issouf Bayo (87')
Apr 9, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Watford
0-3
Leeds

Louza (57'), Sissoko (80')
Raphinha (21'), Rodrigo (73'), Harrison (85')
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 7
Leeds
1-0
Watford
Llorente (18')

Femenia (59'), Sarr (65'), Dennis (90')
Feb 20, 2016 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
6pm
Texans
@
Chiefs
9.30pm
Steelers
@
Ravens
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd21145230111945
2Leeds UnitedLeeds21126337152242
3Burnley2111822681841
4Sunderland21117332171540
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2011452517837
6Middlesbrough21104735251034
7Watford2010462926334
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds218582630-429
10Swansea CitySwansea217682322127
11Bristol City216962626027
12Norwich CityNorwich216873632426
13Millwall206772018225
14Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
15Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
16Coventry CityCoventry216692730-324
17Preston North EndPreston2141162127-623
18Stoke CityStoke215792328-522
19Queens Park RangersQPR2141072127-622
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2046102133-1218
21Cardiff CityCardiff2046101932-1318
22Portsmouth193882134-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2045111942-2317
24Hull City2137111930-1116


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!