MX23RW : Sunday, November 17 12:48:02| >> :300:86500:86500:
Basel
Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Winterthur

Basel
5 - 2
Winterthur

van Breemen (41'), Ndoye (58'), Augustin (63'), Frei (90+1', 90+3' pen.)
Schmid (35'), Millar (55')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Di Giusto (8'), Stillhart (80')
Schmid (23'), Sidler (33'), Buess (63'), Schneider (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Swiss Super League clash between Basel and FC Winterthur, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Basel 1-3 Tobol
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Winterthur 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League

We said: Basel 2-1 FC Winterthur

Basel have been largely underwhelming at home of late, but Sunday's clash represents a fantastic chance for them to turn their fortunes around. We are backing the hosts to just about get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawFC Winterthur
54.22% (-1.248 -1.25) 23.49% (0.468 0.47) 22.3% (0.787 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.5% (-0.428 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53% (-1.088 -1.09)47% (1.093 1.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.75% (-1.022 -1.02)69.25% (1.029 1.03)
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.76% (-0.836 -0.84)17.24% (0.842 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.45% (-1.493 -1.49)47.55% (1.499 1.5)
FC Winterthur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.64% (0.13800000000001 0.14)35.36% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.88% (0.143 0.14)72.12% (-0.137 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Basel 54.21%
    FC Winterthur 22.3%
    Draw 23.49%
BaselDrawFC Winterthur
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.19 0.19)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.061 -0.06)
2-0 @ 9.42% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-1 @ 5.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
3-0 @ 5.52% (-0.213 -0.21)
3-2 @ 2.98% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-1 @ 2.52% (-0.162 -0.16)
4-0 @ 2.43% (-0.165 -0.17)
4-2 @ 1.31% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 3.79%
Total : 54.21%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.24 0.24)
0-0 @ 6.1% (0.275 0.28)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.013 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.03% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.49%
0-1 @ 6.34% (0.308 0.31)
1-2 @ 5.79% (0.145 0.15)
0-2 @ 3.29% (0.171 0.17)
1-3 @ 2.01% (0.058 0.06)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.14% (0.064 0.06)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 22.3%

How you voted: Basel vs Winterthur

Basel
75.0%
Draw
25.0%
FC Winterthur
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 3.30pm
Gameweek 31
Winterthur
1-4
Basel
Ardaiz (20' pen.)
Nuhu (7'), Males (12'), Amdouni (71'), Zeqiri (83')
Apr 1, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 26
Basel
2-0
Winterthur
Augustin (25'), Fink (85')
Oct 23, 2022 1.15pm
Gameweek 13
Basel
3-1
Winterthur
Comas (2', 8'), Fink (58')
Seiler (90+1')
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 1
Winterthur
1-1
Basel
Ramizi (3')
Goncalves (60'), Ramizi (60'), Corbaz (76')
Burger (70')
Millar (45+3'), Djiga (74'), Burger (90+1'), Ndoye (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1FC Zurich147522215726
2Basel1481535152025
3LuganoLugano147432115625
4Servette147432321225
5Luzern146442622422
6St GallenSt Gallen145542519620
7Lausanne SportLausanne146262220220
8Sion144551818017
9Young Boys144461823-516
10Yverdon Sport144371525-1015
11FC WinterthurWinterthur143291031-2111
12Grasshopper ZurichGrasshopper142391324-119


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