Swiss Super League | Gameweek 2
Jul 30, 2023 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
Basel5 - 2Winterthur
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Basel 1-3 Tobol
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Thursday, July 27 at 6.30pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Winterthur 0-0 Luzern
Saturday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
Saturday, July 22 at 7.30pm in Swiss Super League
We said: Basel 2-1 FC Winterthur
Basel have been largely underwhelming at home of late, but Sunday's clash represents a fantastic chance for them to turn their fortunes around. We are backing the hosts to just about get the job done come the end of the 90 minutes. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 54.22%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.79%) and 2-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.14%), while for a FC Winterthur win it was 0-1 (6.34%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
Result | ||
Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
54.22% ( -1.25) | 23.49% ( 0.47) | 22.3% ( 0.79) |
Both teams to score 53.5% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53% ( -1.09) | 47% ( 1.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.75% ( -1.02) | 69.25% ( 1.03) |
Basel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.76% ( -0.84) | 17.24% ( 0.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.45% ( -1.49) | 47.55% ( 1.5) |
FC Winterthur Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.64% ( 0.14) | 35.36% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.88% ( 0.14) | 72.12% ( -0.14) |
Score Analysis |
Basel 54.21%
FC Winterthur 22.3%
Draw 23.49%
Basel | Draw | FC Winterthur |
1-0 @ 10.71% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 9.42% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.74% ( -0.2) 3-0 @ 5.52% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.16) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( -0.17) 4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.79% Total : 54.21% | 1-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.24) 0-0 @ 6.1% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.49% | 0-1 @ 6.34% ( 0.31) 1-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 3.29% ( 0.17) 1-3 @ 2.01% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.06) Other @ 1.96% Total : 22.3% |
How you voted: Basel vs Winterthur
Basel
75.0%Draw
25.0%FC Winterthur
0.0%8
Head to Head
Apr 30, 2023 3.30pm
Apr 1, 2023 7.30pm
Oct 23, 2022 1.15pm
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-30 23:05:35
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
France
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Round of 16
Portugal
vs.
Slovenia
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
Romania
vs.
Netherlands
8pm
Round of 16
Austria
vs.
Turkey
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Germany
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Switzerland
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Tuesday, July 9
8pm
Wednesday, July 10
8pm
Sunday, July 14
8pm
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Germany | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 7 |
Q | Switzerland | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
3 | Hungary | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 |
4 | Scotland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
Q | Austria | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 |
Q | France | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 |
Q | Netherlands | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Poland | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
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