Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 60.52%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Puebla had a probability of 17.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a Puebla win it was 0-1 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.
0.81) 
-0.25) 
