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AFC Champions League | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2021 at 8pm UK
Rashid Stadium

Shabab Al-Ahli
0 - 1
Istiqlol Dushanbe


Ahmed Hassan (37'), Abdalla Suhail (38'), Marzooq (80')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Dzhalilov (90+6')
Dzhalilov (13'), Mishchenko (51'), Davronov (71'), Nazarov (88')
Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai and Istiqlol Dushanbe.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win with a probability of 56.05%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Istiqlol Dushanbe had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.21%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Istiqlol Dushanbe win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
56.05%23.48%20.47%
Both teams to score 50.94%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.88%49.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.81%71.19%
Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.65%17.35%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.27%47.73%
Istiqlol Dushanbe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.64%38.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.88%75.12%
Score Analysis
    Shabab Al-Ahli Dubai 56.04%
    Istiqlol Dushanbe 20.47%
    Draw 23.47%
Shabab Al-Ahli DubaiDrawIstiqlol Dushanbe
1-0 @ 11.65%
2-0 @ 10.21%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 5.96%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-2 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.61%
4-1 @ 2.5%
4-2 @ 1.2%
5-0 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 56.04%
1-1 @ 11.16%
0-0 @ 6.65%
2-2 @ 4.69%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 23.47%
0-1 @ 6.38%
1-2 @ 5.35%
0-2 @ 3.05%
1-3 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.5%
0-3 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 20.47%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2021 8pm
Group Stage
Istiqlol Dushanbe
0-0
Shabab Al-Ahli
Rahimov (83'), Soirov (90+1')
Jesus (69')
rhs 2.0
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