Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NEC win with a probability of 69.96%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Dordrecht had a probability of 13.27%.
The most likely scoreline for a NEC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-3 (7.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.47%), while for a Dordrecht win it was 2-1 (3.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NEC in this match.