Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 50.19%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Oita Trinita had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.58%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Oita Trinita win it was 1-0 (9.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 15.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Kashiwa Reysol in this match.