Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 62.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Tokushima Vortis had a probability of 17.52%.
The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.15%) and 1-0 (8.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.95%), while for a Tokushima Vortis win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Yokohama F Marinos would win this match.