Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coleraine win with a probability of 81.91%. A draw had a probability of 12.9% and a win for Warrenpoint Town had a probability of 5.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coleraine win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.1%) and 1-0 (11.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.99%), while for a Warrenpoint Town win it was 0-1 (2.33%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Coleraine would win this match.