Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kashiwa Reysol win with a probability of 59.25%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for Vegalta Sendai had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kashiwa Reysol win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.48%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.54%), while for a Vegalta Sendai win it was 1-0 (5.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kashiwa Reysol would win this match.