Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Waterford United win with a probability of 40.21%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Waterford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.98%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 1-0 (11.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.