League of Ireland Premier | Gameweek 3

Mar 3, 2023 at 8pm UK

Waterford Regional Sports Centre

Shamrock
1 - 2
Derry

Kenny (26')
Burke (35'), Poom (38'), Farrugia (52'), Byrne (69'), Gaffney (82')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Doherty (18'), McGonigle (54')
McEleney (21'), Diallo (57'), Connolly (68')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the League of Ireland Premier clash between Shamrock Rovers and Derry City.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shamrock Rovers

All competitions

League of Ireland Premier

Last Game: Drogheda 1-1 Shamrock
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derry City

All competitions

Last Game: Derry 2-0 Cork City
Friday, February 24 at 7.45pm in League of Ireland Premier

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shamrock Rovers win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Derry City had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shamrock Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Derry City win was 0-1 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Derry City
47.45% ( 0.43)	25.74% ( -0.19)	26.81% ( -0.24)

Both teams to score 51.16% (

0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.64% (

0.6)

52.35% (

-0.6)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.96% (

0.51)

74.04% (

-0.51)

Shamrock Rovers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

0.45)

22.06% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.59% (

0.67)

55.41% (

-0.67)

Derry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.65% (

0.13)

34.35% (

-0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.94% (

0.13)

71.06% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Shamrock Rovers 47.44%

Derry City 26.81%

Draw 25.73%

Shamrock Rovers	Draw	Derry City
1-0 @ 11.45% ( -0.12) 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.24% Total : 47.44%	1-1 @ 12.23% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.18) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.98% Total : 25.73%	0-1 @ 8.1% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.76% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.21% Total : 26.81%