Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dorking Wanderers win with a probability of 43.21%. A win for Ebbsfleet had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dorking Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Ebbsfleet win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dorking Wanderers would win this match.
