MX23RW : Monday, November 4 21:34:47| >> :600:45384133:45384133:
[monks data]
Pacos de Ferreira logo
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 27
Mar 20, 2022 at 3.30pm UK
Mata Real
Moreirense

Pacos de Ferreira
2 - 1
Moreirense

Butzke (39'), Uilton (70')
Carlos (51'), Uilton (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Yan (50')
Camara (45+1'), Luis (60'), Jefferson (76'), Jorge (80')

Preview: Pacos de Ferreira vs. Moreirense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Pacos de Ferreira and Moreirense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Moreirense have eight games remaining to save their Primeira Liga status, currently sitting 17th and two points away from safety after recording just four wins so far.

They travel to the Estadio da Capital do Movel on Sunday, when they will face Pacos de Ferreira, who occupy ninth spot and look set for a mid-table finish this season.


Match preview

Pacos de Ferreira's Denilson Pereira Junior is shown a red card by referee Vitor Ferreira on January 9, 2022© Reuters

Cesar Peixoto's side bounced back from defeat last time out by securing a tight 1-0 win over 15th-placed Arouca, courtesy of a 33rd-minute strike from Nicolas Gaitan.

Scoring just once in that game comes as no surprise for Pacos de Ferreira, as they have only netted 23 times in 26 matches during this campaign, the lowest total out of the division's top 14 teams.

However, despite finding the back of the net on more occasions at home, Peixoto's side have managed to win one more game on their travels this season, with their home record letting them down this season.

In contrast, the Pacenses won 10 of their 17 matches on their own patch last year, which helped them to a fifth-placed finish, providing the proof that their home form has hindered them this time around.

Sunday's hosts will view this weekend as a good opportunity to improve their record at the Estadio da Capital do Movel, given that Moreirense have only tasted victory once on their travels this year.

Moreirense players celebrate after Benfica's Gilberto scored an own goal and the first for them on January 15, 2022© Reuters

Ricardo Sa Pinto's side are currently on a five-game winless run, which need to be ended soon if they are to climb out of the relegation zone and avoid the drop.

On Monday, Moreirense welcomed title-chasing Sporting Lisbon to their home, where the hosts created chances but eventually lost the game by a 2-0 scoreline, with the visitors proving to be more efficient in the final third.

This weekend's away side have also only managed to find the back of the net 23 times so far, suggesting that this encounter could be a low-scoring affair.

Pinto will be looking for his side to collect maximum points this weekend, but with fixtures against teams around them in the table to come, perhaps a point on Sunday will not be a bad result for the visitors.

These two teams played out a 1-1 draw in the reverse match at the beginning of November, when Lucas Silva's goal was cancelled out by Andre Luis's late leveller for Moreirense.

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W

Moreirense Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Moreirense's Yan in action on January 15, 2022© Reuters

Flavio, Joao Vigario and Jorge Silva will all remain absent from Pacos de Ferreira's squad as they are sidelined with injuries, but the trio could return to full fitness later this month.

The hosts could operate in a 4-2-3-1 formation, and after victory last time out Peixoto may decide to leave his side unchanged, meaning that Denilson will continue to lead the line as a sole striker.

Ze Uilton and Helder are likely to play in the wide positions of the attacking-midfield three, with Nicolas Gaitan playing in the number 10 role looking to add to his two goals in three appearances for his new club.

Moreirense midfielder Fabio Pacheco returned to the starting 11 last time out after serving his one-match suspension for the double yellow card he received at the end of February, and the 33-year-old is likely to start again this weekend.

Pinto will set his team up in a 3-4-3 formation with Walterson, Luis and Yan leading the attack as a forward trio, aiming to add to their 11 goals between them this season.

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Ferreira; Antunes, Lima, Baixinho, Delgado; Carlos, Santos; Uilton, Gaitan, Helder; Denilson

Moreirense possible starting lineup:
Pasinato; Pablo, Rosic, Jorge; Amador, Pacheco, Jefferson, Paulinho; Yan, Luis, Walterson


SM words green background

We say: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Moreirense

Pacos de Ferreira do not have much left to play for this season apart from their own pride, and with a Moreirense side coming to visit with everything to play for, that could give the visitors the upperhand.

With neither side showing free-flowing ability in the final third this season, there is unlikely to be a lot of goals in this encounter, but they are expected to cancel each other out with a goal a piece.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:481123:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9167:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pacos de Ferreira win with a probability of 46.03%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 26.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pacos de Ferreira win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Moreirense win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pacos de Ferreira would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Porto's Mateus Uribe celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on February 24, 2022
Read Next:
Sunday's Primeira Liga predictions including Pacos de Ferreira vs. Porto
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1010003533230
2Porto109012742327
3Benfica97112461822
4Braga106221771020
5Santa ClaraSanta Clara96031310318
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes105321210218
7FamalicaoFamalicao10442129316
8MoreirenseMoreirense104241212014
9Casa Pia10334913-412
10Gil Vicente102441216-410
11BoavistaBoavista10235713-69
12Estoril PraiaEstoril10235816-89
13AVS10235919-109
14Rio AveRio Ave10235820-129
15AroucaArouca10217619-137
16Estrela Amadora10136820-126
17Nacional8125413-95
18SC FarenseFarense10118417-134


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!