Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spartak Moscow win with a probability of 40.96%. A win for Rubin Kazan had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spartak Moscow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.68%). The likeliest Rubin Kazan win was 1-0 (10.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spartak Moscow would win this match.