Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Groningen win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Den Bosch had a probability of 21.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Groningen win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-2 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%), while for a Den Bosch win it was 1-0 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Groningen would win this match.

Result
Den Bosch	Draw	Groningen
21.41% ( 0.02)	23.47% ( 0.1)	55.11% ( -0.12)

Both teams to score 52.33% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.03% (

-0.41)

47.96% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.86% (

-0.38)

70.14% (

0.37)

Den Bosch Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.25% (

-0.21)

36.75% (

0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.46% (

-0.21)

73.54% (

0.21)

Groningen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.73% (

-0.19)

17.26% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.41% (

-0.34)

47.59% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Den Bosch 21.41%

Groningen 55.11%

Draw 23.47%

Den Bosch	Draw	Groningen
1-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 5.58% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.06% Other @ 1.74% Total : 21.41%	1-1 @ 11.15% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 23.47%	0-1 @ 11.14% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 9.8% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.79% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.87% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.75% Total : 55.11%