Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Yokohama F Marinos win with a probability of 55.68%. A win for Kyoto Sanga had a probability of 22.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Yokohama F Marinos win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.07%) and 0-1 (8.07%). The likeliest Kyoto Sanga win was 2-1 (5.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
22.76% ( 1.68)	21.56% ( 1.01)	55.68% ( -2.69)

Both teams to score 60.7% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.23% (

-2.69)

37.77% (

2.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.99% (

-2.94)

60.01% (

2.94)

Kyoto Sanga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.19% (

-0.07)

29.81% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.11% (

-0.09)

65.89% (

0.09)

Yokohama F Marinos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.47% (

-1.65)

13.53% (

1.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.41% (

-3.41)

40.59% (

3.41)

Score Analysis

Kyoto Sanga 22.76%

Yokohama F Marinos 55.68%

Draw 21.56%

Kyoto Sanga	Draw	Yokohama F Marinos
2-1 @ 5.91% ( 0.38) 1-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.6) 2-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 2.39% ( 0) 3-1 @ 2.38% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.14) Other @ 3.05% Total : 22.76%	1-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( 0.5) 3-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.56%	1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.07% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.54) 1-3 @ 6.51% ( -0.39) 0-3 @ 5.38% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.25) 1-4 @ 3.26% ( -0.42) 0-4 @ 2.69% ( -0.34) 2-4 @ 1.97% ( -0.26) 1-5 @ 1.3% ( -0.26) 0-5 @ 1.08% ( -0.22) Other @ 3.65% Total : 55.68%