Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a University College Dublin win with a probability of 40.02%. A win for Finn Harps had a probability of 32.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a University College Dublin win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.35%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Finn Harps win was 0-1 (10.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that University College Dublin would win this match.
0.37) 
-0.44) 
