Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alloa Athletic win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Cowdenbeath had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Alloa Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Cowdenbeath win was 1-0 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Alloa Athletic would win this match.