Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford City win with a probability of 64.45%. A draw had a probability of 18.7% and a win for Chelmsford City had a probability of 16.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Oxford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (7.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.33%), while for a Chelmsford City win it was 1-2 (4.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.
