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Aldershot Town
Altrincham
Barnet
Braintree Town
Dagenham & Redbridge
Eastleigh
Ebbsfleet United
Forest Green Rovers
AFC Fylde
Gateshead
Halifax Town
Hartlepool United
Maidenhead United
Oldham Athletic
Rochdale
Solihull Moors
Southend United
Sutton United
Wealdstone
Woking
Yeovil Town
Eastleigh
National League | Gameweek 41
Apr 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Silverlake Stadium
Gateshead

Eastleigh
2 - 5
Gateshead

Carter (11'), Mitchell (84')
McKiernan (45'), Whitehall (55')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Martin (7', 49'), Campbell (27'), Olley (64'), Bailey (81')
Ward (58'), Conteh (77'), Marshall (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's National League clash between Eastleigh and Gateshead, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eastleigh

All competitions
Last Game: Eastleigh 3-3 Aldershot
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

Gateshead

All competitions
Last Game: Altrincham 0-1 Gateshead
Monday, April 10 at 3pm in National League

We said: Eastleigh 1-2 Gateshead

 Eastleigh have been very underwhelming recently, even against sides who have not been in good form. Nobody has beaten Gateshead in nine matches, and with the best form in the division of late to distance themselves from trouble, they could have a big say on the playoff picture with a result here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gateshead win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Eastleigh had a probability of 35.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gateshead win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (6.33%). The likeliest Eastleigh win was 1-0 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Gateshead would win this match.

Result
EastleighDrawGateshead
35.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.21% (0.0019999999999989 0) 39.39% (0.00099999999999767 0)
Both teams to score 56.85% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.23% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)46.77% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.97% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)69.03% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Eastleigh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-0.0039999999999907 -0)25.68% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.42% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)60.59% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)
Gateshead Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)23.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)57.54% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Eastleigh 35.4%
    Gateshead 39.39%
    Draw 25.21%
EastleighDrawGateshead
1-0 @ 8.21% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.58%
3-1 @ 3.66%
3-2 @ 2.65% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 2.53%
4-1 @ 1.24% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 35.4%
1-1 @ 11.88%
0-0 @ 6.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 5.85% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 25.21%
0-1 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-2 @ 8.6%
0-2 @ 6.33% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 4.15%
0-3 @ 3.05%
2-3 @ 2.82%
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.11%
2-4 @ 1.02% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 39.39%

How you voted: Eastleigh vs Gateshead

Eastleigh
43.3%
Draw
20.0%
Gateshead
36.7%
30
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gateshead
1-1
Eastleigh
Jarvis (74')
Hill (20')
Whitehall (56')
Apr 13, 2019 3pm
Eastleigh
1-0
Gateshead
Johnson (15')
Johnson (45')
Sep 29, 2018 3pm
Gateshead
0-1
Eastleigh

White (75')
Hare (77')
Apr 14, 2018 3pm
Gateshead
2-0
Eastleigh
Johnson (45'), Burrow (52')
Preston (13')

Johnson (51')
Oct 21, 2017 3pm
Eastleigh
3-2
Gateshead
Williamson (4'), Constable (62'), Strevens (90')
Green (33'), Cresswell (71')
Preston (74'), Vassell (87')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barnet1290325111427
2York City127411861225
3Forest Green RoversForest Green127322091124
4Rochdale127232091123
5Gateshead117222215723
6Oldham AthleticOldham126511711623
7Eastleigh126331915421
8Sutton UnitedSutton125431916319
9AltrinchamAltrincham125341515018
10Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red124532013717
11Halifax TownHalifax124531210217
12Yeovil TownYeovil124351314-115
13Woking124351316-315
14Solihull MoorsSolihull124351418-415
15Aldershot TownAldershot123541717014
16Southend UnitedSouthend123541717014
17Tamworth114251219-714
18Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool12345711-413
19Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead123271420-611
20Braintree TownBraintree12246613-710
21Boston UnitedBoston122371222-109
22Fylde122371324-119
23WealdstoneWealdstone12156917-88
24Ebbsfleet12129925-165
> National League Full Table


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