Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queen of the South win with a probability of 36.16%. A win for Raith Rovers had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queen of the South win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.72%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Raith Rovers win was 0-1 (11.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.