Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 48.39%. A win for Sport Recife had a probability of 25.91% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.29%) and 0-2 (8.93%). The likeliest Sport Recife win was 1-0 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.