MX23RW : Saturday, September 28 21:00:50| >> :60:166:166:
Uruguay national football team
Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 7, 2024 at 2am UK
Allegiant Stadium
Brazil national football team

Uruguay
0 - 0
Brazil


Ugarte (51'), de la Cruz (60')
Nandez (74')
FT

Paqueta (39'), Gomes (64')
Uruguay win 4-2 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Copa America clash between Uruguay and Brazil, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Uruguay could line up for Sunday's Copa America quarter-final clash with Brazil.

Form, Standings, Stats

Uruguay

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: USA 0-1 Uruguay
Tuesday, July 2 at 2am in Copa America

Brazil

All competitions
Copa America
Last Game: Brazil 1-1 Colombia
Wednesday, July 3 at 2am in Copa America

We said: Uruguay 2-1 Brazil

 An entertaining end-to-end contest could be in store considering that eight of the last 10 meetings between these two nations have produced at least three goals. With Brazil not quite firing on all cylinders and without the presence of Vinicius Junior, there could be an upset on the cards in Las Vegas, with Uruguay's positive momentum propelling them into the semi-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brazil win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Uruguay had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brazil win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Uruguay win was 1-0 (8.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
UruguayDrawBrazil
28.99% (-0.226 -0.23) 26.53% (0.129 0.13) 44.49% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.27% (-0.51799999999999 -0.52)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.78% (-0.608 -0.61)54.22% (0.605 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (-0.51 -0.51)75.62% (0.50800000000001 0.51)
Uruguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.37% (-0.489 -0.49)33.63% (0.487 0.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.72% (-0.537 -0.54)70.28% (0.53500000000001 0.54)
Brazil Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.75% (-0.22200000000001 -0.22)24.25% (0.22 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.39% (-0.314 -0.31)58.61% (0.311 0.31)
Score Analysis
    Uruguay 28.99%
    Brazil 44.48%
    Draw 26.53%
UruguayDrawBrazil
1-0 @ 8.89% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 6.86% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.84% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 2.49% (-0.057 -0.06)
3-2 @ 1.77% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 28.99%
1-1 @ 12.59% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.191 0.19)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 11.55% (0.2 0.2)
1-2 @ 8.92% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 8.18% (0.087999999999999 0.09)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.87% (0.017 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.051 -0.05)
1-4 @ 1.49% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 44.48%

How you voted: 1st ranked Group C vs 2nd position Group D

1st ranked Group C
56.9%
Draw
24.3%
2nd position Group D
18.8%
144
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2023 1am
Group Stage
Uruguay
2-0
Brazil
Nunez (42'), De la Cruz (77')
Araujo (10'), Nunez (21'), Nandez (57')

Rodrygo (45+5'), Casemiro (71'), Ederson (77'), Jesus (83'), Cunha (89')
> Preview
Oct 15, 2021 1.30am
Group Stage
Brazil
4-1
Uruguay
> Preview
Nov 17, 2020 11pm
Group Stage
Uruguay
0-2
Brazil
Arthur (33'), Richarlison (45')
> Preview
Nov 16, 2018 8pm
International Friendlies
Brazil
1-0
Uruguay
Neymar (76' pen.)
Costa (40'), Walace (43')

Torreira (24'), Suarez (36'), Vecino (41'), Suarez (75'), Caceres (80'), Cavani (86')
> Match Report
Jun 26, 2013 8pm
Semi-finals
Brazil
2-1
Uruguay
Fred, Paulinho
Cavani
> Match Report
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